← Coverage
Sample · Game file · MLB playoffs
Los Angeles DodgersAway
4
–
1
Atlanta BravesHome
Start . Every source that priced this game, its last price before the start, and how it graded once it was final, next to the Sparket.AI price built from all of them. Source names are withheld; ranks match the source report.
17Sources that priced it
49Prices across moneyline, spread, total
71Times we re-priced it before the start
56.8%Our price on Dodgers · they won
Our price against the marketsBraves win probability before the start: the Sparket.AI price at each of its 71 updates, beside the exchanges and the sportsbook consensus as they moved. One blended price that keeps pace with the sharpest markets.
Sparket.AIKalshiPolymarket
Total ladderOur fair price for the over on each line, beside Kalshi's bid and ask as of , our last update before the start. Our price sat inside or within a cent of Kalshi's quote on 1 of 11 lines.
Sparket.AI fair priceKalshi bid–askFinal result
MoneylineWin probability for each side. ✓ when the side it favored happened.
| Source | Dodgers | Braves | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparket.AI price blend of 17 sources, weighted by their scores | 56.8% | 43.2% | ✓ |
| Prediction markets & exchanges | |||
| Source 03 A prediction market · | 57.3% | 42.7% | ✓ |
| Source 04 A prediction market · | 57.7% | 42.3% | ✓ |
| Source 08 B prediction market · | 57.5% | 42.5% | ✓ |
| Source 19 C prediction market · | 58.5% | 41.5% | ✓ |
| Sportsbooks | |||
| Source 20 P sportsbook · | 57.6% | 42.4% | ✓ |
| Source 21 P sportsbook · | 57.6% | 42.4% | ✓ |
| Source 22 P sportsbook · | 57.6% | 42.4% | ✓ |
| Source 23 P sportsbook · | 57.8% | 42.2% | ✓ |
| Unrated sportsbook · | 57.7% | 42.3% | ✓ |
| Unrated sportsbook · | 57.7% | 42.3% | ✓ |
| Unrated sportsbook · | 57.6% | 42.4% | ✓ |
| Unrated sportsbook · | 58.3% | 41.7% | ✓ |
| Unrated sportsbook · | 58.3% | 41.7% | ✓ |
| Models | |||
| Source 16 C model · | 44.8% | 55.2% | ✗ |
| Source 17 C model · | 56.6% | 43.4% | ✓ |
| Source 33 D model · | 56.7% | 43.3% | ✓ |
| Source 93 E model · | 10.0% | 90.0% | ✗ |
SpreadEach source's line and its price on Dodgers covering, and what happened at that line. Final margin: Dodgers by 3.
| Source | Line | Dodgers covers | Covered? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparket.AI price blend of 17 sources | Dodgers -1.5 | 39.9% | Yes |
| Prediction markets & exchanges | |||
| Source 03 A prediction market · | Dodgers -1.5 | 42.7% | Yes |
| Source 04 A prediction market · | Dodgers -1.5 | 43.2% | Yes |
| Source 08 B prediction market · | Dodgers -1.5 | 43.5% | Yes |
| Source 19 C prediction market · | Dodgers -1.5 | 43.5% | Yes |
| Sportsbooks | |||
| Source 20 P sportsbook · | Dodgers -1.5 | 44.9% | Yes |
| Source 21 P sportsbook · | Dodgers -1.5 | 44.9% | Yes |
| Source 22 P sportsbook · | Dodgers -1.5 | 44.9% | Yes |
| Source 23 P sportsbook · | Dodgers -1.5 | 44.6% | Yes |
| Unrated sportsbook · | Dodgers -1.5 | 44.5% | Yes |
| Unrated sportsbook · | Dodgers -1.5 | 44.2% | Yes |
| Unrated sportsbook · | Dodgers -1.5 | 44.9% | Yes |
| Unrated sportsbook · | Dodgers -1.5 | 44.4% | Yes |
| Unrated sportsbook · | Dodgers -1.5 | 44.7% | Yes |
| Models | |||
| Source 17 C model · | Dodgers -0.68 | 50.0% | Yes |
| Source 33 D model · | Dodgers -1.5 | 50.0% | Yes |
| Source 93 E model · | Braves -1 | 50.0% | Yes |
TotalEach source's line and its price on the under, and what happened at that line. Final total: 5.
| Source | Line | Under | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparket.AI price blend of 17 sources | 7.5 | 50.1% | Under |
| Prediction markets & exchanges | |||
| Source 03 A prediction market · | 7.5 | 50.3% | Under |
| Source 04 A prediction market · | 7.5 | 50.2% | Under |
| Source 08 B prediction market · | 7.5 | 50.5% | Under |
| Source 19 C prediction market · | 7.5 | 50.5% | Under |
| Sportsbooks | |||
| Source 20 P sportsbook · | 7.5 | 50.0% | Under |
| Source 21 P sportsbook · | 7.5 | 50.0% | Under |
| Source 22 P sportsbook · | 7.5 | 50.0% | Under |
| Source 23 P sportsbook · | 7.5 | 50.0% | Under |
| Unrated sportsbook · | 7.5 | 50.0% | Under |
| Unrated sportsbook · | 7.5 | 50.3% | Under |
| Unrated sportsbook · | 7.5 | 50.0% | Under |
| Unrated sportsbook · | 7.5 | 50.0% | Under |
| Unrated sportsbook · | 7.5 | 48.9% | Under |
| Models | |||
| Source 17 C model · | 7.66 | 50.0% | Under |
| Source 33 D model · | 7.5 | 50.0% | Under |
| Source 93 E model · | 7 | 50.0% | Under |
Spread and total prices sit on fixed lines, so a price above 50% is not always a pick; every price is scored by its probability, and the source report rolls those scores up.
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