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Sample · Game file · ATP
Dalibor SvrcinaAway
0
–
2
Daniil MedvedevHome
Start · score in sets. Every source that priced this match, its last price before the start, and how it graded once it was final, next to the Sparket.AI price built from all of them. Source names are withheld; ranks match the source report.
13Sources that priced it
16Prices across moneyline, spread
107Times we re-priced it before the start
85.8%Our price on Medvedev · he won
Our price against the marketsMedvedev win probability before the start: the Sparket.AI price at each of its 106 updates, beside the exchanges and the sportsbook consensus as they moved. One blended price that keeps pace with the sharpest markets.
Sparket.AIPolymarket
MoneylineWin probability for each side. ✓ when the side it favored happened.
| Source | Svrcina | Medvedev | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sparket.AI price blend of 13 sources, weighted by their scores | 14.2% | 85.8% | ✓ |
| Prediction markets & exchanges | |||
| Source 03 A prediction market · | 10.7% | 89.3% | ✓ |
| Source 04 A prediction market · | 11.5% | 88.5% | ✓ |
| Source 19 C prediction market · | 11.5% | 88.5% | ✓ |
| Source 51 D prediction market · | 12.5% | 87.5% | ✓ |
| Sportsbooks | |||
| Source 05 A sportsbook · | 13.5% | 86.5% | ✓ |
| Source 09 B sportsbook · | 11.9% | 88.1% | ✓ |
| Source 13 C sportsbook · | 12.7% | 87.3% | ✓ |
| Source 15 C sportsbook · | 15.7% | 84.3% | ✓ |
| Models | |||
| Source 07 B model · | 10.9% | 89.1% | ✓ |
| Source 11 B model · | 16.6% | 83.4% | ✓ |
| Source 16 C model · | 41.8% | 58.2% | ✓ |
| Source 25 C model · | 16.0% | 84.0% | ✓ |
| Source 28 C model · | 15.1% | 84.9% | ✓ |
SpreadEach source's line and its price on Svrcina covering, and what happened at that line. Final margin: Medvedev by 2 sets.
| Source | Line | Svrcina covers | Covered? |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prediction markets & exchanges | |||
| Source 04 A prediction market · | Medvedev -1.5 | 31.5% | No |
| Source 19 C prediction market · | Medvedev -1.5 | 41.0% | No |
| Models | |||
| Source 07 B model · | Medvedev -1.5 | 22.0% | No |
Spread and total prices sit on fixed lines, so a price above 50% is not always a pick; every price is scored by its probability, and the source report rolls those scores up.
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Every source we read gets a file like this, refreshed daily, for every sport and bet type it prices.